Chen Xing
Chen Xing
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Probabilistic Models for Computing Customer-Centric Metrics
Introduction In this post, I will summarize the common statistical methods to describe and predict customers’ purchase behavior in non-contractual settings. It fits probabilistic models to historical transaction records for computing customer-centric metrics of managerial interest.
Aug 27, 2022
3 min read
Probability
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PredictiveAnalytics
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tutorial
Incorporating Time-Invariant Covariates into PNBD II
Introduction In this post, we’ll continue discover the difference between the Cohort Modeling and the Extended PNBD Model with time-invariant covariates. Check here to see the previous post. Data Prepare First let’s import the transactional data, and select the customers who first purchase happened in 2017-2018.
Aug 26, 2022
7 min read
R
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PredictiveAnalytics
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tutorial
Incorporating Time-Invariant Covariates into PNBD
Introducton The original Pareto-NBD Model is awesome, but it does not allow us to add any covariates. In some cases, the covariates may affect the purchase, or the attrition process, or both.
Aug 23, 2022
11 min read
PredictiveAnalytics
,
R
CLV Prediction in R
Introduction In the previous posts, we talked about the theoretical part of Pareto/NBD model. This time, we will go over the CLV prediction in R. Customer lifetime value (CLV) is
Jul 10, 2022
5 min read
PredictiveAnalytics
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Probability
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R
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tutorial
Measure of Clumpiness
在零售行业中,广泛存在一部分顾客,满足如下的消费行为: 消费间
Sep 6, 2022
1 min read
PredictiveAnalytics
,
tutorial
CLV小总结
引子 2021春节马上到了,2月4日开始放假,2月9号回家。在
Feb 3, 2021
1 min read
Probability
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PredictiveAnalytics
,
tutorial
Theory Behind Pareto/NBD Part 1
Theoretical proof behind PNBD Modeling Part 1.
Jan 31, 2021
4 min read
PredictiveAnalytics
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Probability
,
tutorial
Theory Behond Pareto/NBD Part 2
Theoretical proof behind PNBD Modeling Part 2.
Jan 31, 2021
4 min read
PredictiveAnalytics
,
Probability
,
tutorial
Gamma-Gamma Spend Model
How to predict a customers mean spending in the future?
Jan 30, 2021
5 min read
Probability
,
tutorial
,
PredictiveAnalytics
Note for Gamma Distribution
Motivation for Gamma Function Definition of Gamma Function Gamma Distribution How to remember the Gamma pdf? Gamma & Exponential Connection Motivation for Gamma Function We all know how to compute the factorial of integer.
Jun 30, 2022
3 min read
Probability
,
tutorial
为什么关注留存率
引子 大部分公司都具有 transaction data 交易数据,这种数据是非常常见、非常容
Oct 28, 2020
2 min read
PredictiveAnalytics
,
tutorial